Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-06 213.144423 239.416896 268.428931 302.976883 343.169699 388.662414 444.343741
2025-04-13 166.503605 199.358579 238.649335 289.592977 354.621073 435.839286 546.532514
2025-04-20 150.148461 187.636912 234.962661 300.079699 388.925588 508.285523 684.957133
2025-04-27 139.283195 180.237292 234.294647 312.481092 425.441300 587.257087 845.368758
2025-05-04 127.143200 169.159956 226.640240 313.235620 444.441900 642.923862 980.838964
2025-05-11 114.849147 156.281372 214.641779 305.579017 448.985511 676.277851 1085.941226
2025-05-18 105.075446 145.864094 204.834395 299.562365 454.512675 710.976733 1198.891460
2025-05-25 100.508298 142.475536 204.840479 308.329968 484.443450 790.149651 1408.105816
2025-06-01 94.263708 135.951870 199.331174 307.410176 497.621770 841.647808 1575.219772
2025-06-08 87.746056 128.438074 191.529009 301.693871 501.385060 876.007870 1714.453490
2025-06-15 83.230154 123.668130 187.630092 302.064108 515.944872 932.909230 1915.751198
2025-06-22 77.913723 117.213626 180.415616 295.815874 517.162780 963.121232 2062.854733
2025-06-29 73.827528 112.575961 176.031312 294.521377 528.434715 1017.491089 2287.479002
2025-07-06 68.075872 104.827196 165.811815 281.575847 515.026981 1016.823865 2372.110459
2025-07-13 66.669877 104.224959 167.830406 291.706799 550.040350 1130.398176 2801.160923
2025-07-20 65.615999 104.122482 170.678344 303.681058 590.656670 1265.400200 3343.216958
2025-07-27 62.987016 101.099207 168.009117 304.409519 606.659667 1343.450672 3739.599378
2025-08-03 59.451835 96.258784 161.651778 297.017077 603.229678 1371.108055 3979.431762
2025-08-10 56.404219 92.110382 156.298745 291.206960 602.752675 1406.662327 4262.062138
2025-08-17 55.386897 91.553350 157.665550 299.673287 637.530431 1546.498387 4997.002818
2025-08-24 53.297680 88.907412 154.828423 298.785194 649.190876 1622.975034 5519.616044
2025-08-31 50.818207 85.402114 150.085629 293.265405 648.408584 1662.383644 5905.316993
2025-09-07 49.160658 83.342041 148.054598 293.622939 662.928806 1752.364540 6568.907681